We will try to make 2 forecasts, each of which has the right to exist.
According to our first forecast, bitcoin will continue to grow in 2025 and reach the mark of 180 thousand dollars. This forecast is based on simple mathematics. If we take as a rule that the increase in price between two bullish cycles was a little more than 3 times. Let us recall that in 2018, bitcoin managed to rise in price to 20 thousand, and in 2021 it was able to soar above 60 thousand. According to our forecast, the next increase in price falls exactly in 2025 and if 60 is also multiplied by 3, then the price of bitcoin will be in the region of 180 thousand US dollars.
According to our second forecast, the season of bitcoin growth is already over. The bears replaced the bulls on December 17, when bitcoin set its maximum. The next 3 years, the market will be in the decline stage. This analysis is also done only mathematically. In 2017, two bullish waves were clearly visible when Bitcoin was rising in price. December 17 and January 7, respectively. In 2021, the first bullish wave was in March, the second wave followed in October. Well, in 2024, it is clearly visible that the first bullish wave was in March, and the second in November. There was no third bullish wave in either the first or second bullish season. Therefore, it is very unlikely that a third bullish wave will appear in this cycle.
Based on the above, our forecast is as follows - with a 70% probability, the bullish season is already over and in 2025, Bitcoin will fall. Well, we give 30% that a third bullish wave will appear and then Bitcoin will soar above 150,000.